Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Westjet Airlines Q4 2008 Earnings Preview

On January 12, 2009, Starmine, the company known for ranking the accuracy of sell-side analysts released its Earnings Surprise Forecast for Q4 2008. This feature focuses on stocks that Starmine predicts will experience an earnings surprise in the upcoming reporting season. This is done by quantitatively analyzing the earnings estimate accuracy of sell-side analysts and using that data to creating SmartEstimates. StarMine SmartEstimates predict future earnings more accurately than consensus estimates by putting more weight on the recent forecasts of StarMine's top-rated analysts.

Among their Positive Predicted Surprises, Starmine lists Westjet Airlines (WJA: TSX), American Science & Engine Inc. (ASEI: NASD), Copa Holdings (CPA: NYSE), Ship Finance International Ltd. (SFL: NYSE) and McDonalds Corp. (MCD: NYSE)

Given that Westjet is the sole Canadian feature – I shall highlight the reasons for it’s inclusion in the Starmine Positive Earnings Surprise Forecast for Q4 2008.



For Q4/08, the consensus EPS as indicated by Starmine is C$0.29.
The StarMine SmartEstimate is C$0.38, a predicted surprise of 29.8%.

Highlights Of Analyst Notes

5 Star Ranked analyst Jacques Kavafian of Research Capital who has a StarMine “Bold Estimate” of C$0.42 (EPS) for Westjet’s Q4/08 claims that “airlines are a call on the economy and a put on oil, implying that a weak economy may negatively impact airline stocks, but lower fuel prices will compensate for lower traffic.” Kavafian also mentions the highlest load factor in the airline’s 12 year history.

4 Star Ranked analyst David Tyerman of Scotia Capital also has an Q4/08 EPS estimate of C$0.42 for Westjet.

Westjet is scheduled to report it Q4/08 earnings on February 10, 2008.

Source: Starmine (click here to read about the other mentioned companies)

Odds & Bits: I am in no way affiliated or compensated by Starmine - just thought i'd point out this feature.